TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Two Colombian soccer teams, Jaguares and Alianza FC Valledupar, will compete in a Liga DIMAYOR match. The outcome depends on which team secures a victory within the standard 90-minute regulation time plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The market resolves based on the result of the Jaguares vs Alianza FC Valledupar professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer game scheduled for September 27, 2026. A market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If the match ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the rules. The outcome is determined solely by regulation time results, with no consideration for extended play or tie-breaking procedures.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and marketing considerations, while this market relies purely on individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there is significant uncertainty. However, sportsbook odds can provide a useful benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies may indicate potential value in either market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly. The current market reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jaguares vs Alianza FC match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle all outstanding contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when and how this market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Sep 28, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift expectations. Weather conditions at the match location, and even pre-game analysis from sports commentators, can also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades from individual participants or groups could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.