TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 9:21 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Jaguares de Córdoba FC and Atlético Nacional, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 4:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Jaguares de Córdoba FC" if Jaguares de Córdoba FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Atlético Nacional" if Atlético Nacional are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Jaguares de Córdoba FC and Atlético Nacional, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 4:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Jaguares de Córdoba FC" if Jaguares de Córdoba FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Atlético Nacional" if Atlético Nacional are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders risking real capital on their beliefs about the outcome. Prediction markets frequently offer sharper, more responsive pricing because traders update positions continuously. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal value opportunities, though both venues ultimately converge toward the true probability as new information emerges.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the current probability assigned by the market; as more traders buy shares for a particular team, that outcome's price rises and others adjust downward. Liquidity and trading volume determine how smoothly prices move, and the spread between buy and sell prices narrows as more capital flows into the market.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is confirmed when credible public reporting—such as official match records or major sports news outlets—documents which team scored first. No further action is required from you; the platform automatically settles positions based on the verified result. Early resolution is possible if one team is eliminated or the fixture is cancelled before kickoff.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before the match begins. Team news—injuries to key forwards, goalkeeper availability, or late lineup changes—often triggers sharp moves. Betting syndicates and sharp traders may accumulate positions based on tactical analysis or inside information about starting formations. Weather conditions, travel delays, or venue changes can also influence early-goal probability. As kickoff nears, late money from casual bettors typically flows toward favorites, while professional traders may fade crowded positions. Live action during the match itself will drive final settlement once the opening goal is scored.