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Jagiellonia Bialystok vs. Legia Warszawa - First Team to Score
polymarket

What team will score first?

Volume:
N/A

Jagiellonia Bialystok

 - Polymarket

Jagiellonia Bialystok - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 20, 2026

Closed: Sep 20, 3:34 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Jagiellonia Bialystok

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Legia Warszawa

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
16.8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

In the upcoming match between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Legia Warszawa, scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Jagiellonia Bialystok" if Jagiellonia Bialystok are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Legia Warszawa" if Legia Warszawa are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Legia Warszawa, scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Jagiellonia Bialystok" if Jagiellonia Bialystok are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Legia Warszawa" if Legia Warszawa are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s pricing is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of each team scoring first. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has a more informed or active trading base. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, but differences can present potential arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each team scoring first. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe Jagiellonia will score first, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa for Legia Warszawa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants, creating a probabilistic forecast of the event’s outcome.

This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team—Jagiellonia Bialystok or Legia Warszawa—scores the first goal in the match. The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Jagiellonia or Legia could significantly shift expectations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements close to kickoff are also likely to cause movement in the market, as traders react to the perceived impact on each team’s scoring potential.