TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino: Game Spread
kalshi

Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino: Game Spread

Volume:
$10,722

Jacob Fearnley -2.5 games

 - Kalshi

Jacob Fearnley -2.5 games - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

Closed: Aug 4, 2:46 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jacob Fearnley -2.5 games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,521
N/A
N/A
$4,075
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jacob Fearnley -5.5 games

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,158
N/A
N/A
$852
Settled
No
kalshi

Adrian Mannarino -1.5 games

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42
N/A
N/A
$38
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event tracks the performance difference between two tennis players in a specific match, focusing on how many games one player wins more than the other. It allows participants to speculate on the margin of victory, reflecting expectations about competitive balance and player form. Outcomes are determined by the final game scores of the match, adjusted for predefined spreads.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether Jacob Fearnley or Adrian Mannarino achieves a specified game differential victory in their 2026 ATP Montreal Round Of 128 match. Three separate markets correspond to different spreads: Fearnley must win by more than 5.5 games, Fearnley by more than 2.5 games, or Mannarino by more than 1.5 games for their respective markets to resolve as 'Yes.' If the match does not commence due to injury, cancellation, or similar disruptions, all markets resolve to a fair price. Postponements keep markets open until the rescheduled match concludes. In cases of retirement during play, markets with sufficient data to determine outcomes will settle accordingly, while unresolved markets also resolve to a fair price at the Exchange’s discretion. The Exchange disclaims any official affiliation with the ATP or governing bodies, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.