TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 7:17 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on how decisively either team wins the final quarter of a football game between Jacksonville and New Orleans. Each outcome depends on the point differential in the fourth quarter alone, ignoring any points scored before or after that period.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential scored during the fourth quarter of the Jacksonville vs New Orleans Pro Football game scheduled for August 15, 2026, with overtime points excluded. Markets are structured around thresholds ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points, with separate thresholds for both teams winning the quarter. If New Orleans achieves a fourth-quarter lead exceeding any of the specified margins (3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points), the corresponding 'New Orleans wins 4Q by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Jacksonville secures a fourth-quarter advantage beyond any of these margins (2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points), the relevant 'Jacksonville wins 4Q by over X points' market resolves to Yes. No other factors, including earlier quarters or overtime scoring, influence resolution.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices based on real-time betting activity and analysis of team performance trends. The current probability reflects collective expectations for the 4th quarter spread outcome, adjusted for recent form, injuries, and strategic adjustments. With 24-hour volume at $4,564, the market shows steady engagement, although sharp movements may occur following key plays or coaching decisions during the game. This pricing mechanism allows for rapid updates as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score differential for the fourth quarter will determine the result, based on official game records once the match concludes.
Injuries to key offensive or defensive players, weather conditions affecting game dynamics, and strategic adjustments by coaches can all significantly impact this market. Quarterback performance, turnover ratios, and red-zone efficiency will be critical watchpoints. As Aug 15, 2026 approaches, betting volume spikes from large public wagers or media narratives may also shift probabilities. Traders should monitor injury reports, defensive scheme changes, and any late-game adjustments that could alter the 4th quarter spread outcome.