TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks rushing performance thresholds for specific players in an upcoming professional football game. Markets resolve based on whether designated players achieve various yardage milestones during the match, allowing participants to speculate on player performance levels.
All markets resolve based on official rushing yard statistics recorded by specified players during the Jacksonville vs Denver professional football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before game start. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market settles according to the actual rushing yards recorded during the game. All markets are independent thresholds, with each requiring the player to surpass a specific yardage mark for resolution. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases or promotional offers. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own analysis and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular outcome. Examining both sets of odds can offer a more comprehensive view of the anticipated result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final rushing yards total. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand, meaning increased buying pressure will raise prices, while increased selling pressure will lower them. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yards totals for both the Jacksonville and Denver teams are verifiable from credible public reporting following the game’s completion. The final reported rushing yards will be used to determine the winning contracts. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances after the resolution process is complete. The market’s resolution is based on publicly available game statistics.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either the Jacksonville or Denver teams would be significant catalysts, as would any changes in weather forecasts that could impact the running game. News regarding coaching strategies or offensive line changes could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or performance expectations could also contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential market movements before Sep 21, 2026.