TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 6:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how often specific players get the ball during an upcoming football game between Jacksonville and Denver. It focuses on whether designated players receive a minimum number of rushing attempts, reflecting their potential usage in the game plan.
All markets resolve based on whether designated players record a specified minimum number of rushing attempts in the Jacksonville vs Denver Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual number of rushing attempts recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all outcome thresholds for each player, ensuring consistent evaluation regardless of the attempt count requirement.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregate forecast of informed individuals. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional betting markets, especially when forecasting event outcomes rather than predicting who will win. However, sportsbook odds provide a useful benchmark for understanding public perception and comparing the implied probability of different outcomes. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas where the crowd believes information is mispriced.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing attempt totals. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific total occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price reflects the collective belief of all participants, dynamically adjusting as new information becomes available. This creates a real-time forecast of the expected rushing attempts for the Jacksonville vs Denver game.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of combined rushing attempts by the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Denver Broncos, as officially recorded by game statistics, will determine the settlement of this market. All official game statistics will be used to verify the outcome and determine which contracts pay out. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game statistics following the conclusion of the game to understand the resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be significant, as would any changes to the teams’ offensive strategies. Weather conditions on game day could also play a role, potentially favoring a run-heavy approach. News regarding coaching decisions or changes to the game plan could also cause shifts in the market. Finally, any late-breaking information about player availability or team tactics could lead to increased trading activity and price fluctuations in this market.