TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific player performance thresholds in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether certain athletes achieve designated receiving yard milestones. The outcome depends entirely on the players' statistical accomplishments during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total receiving yards accumulated by the specified player in the Jacksonville vs Denver Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 20, 2026. If the player records the stated minimum receiving yards or more, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before kickoff. Once a player takes at least one snap — even if that play is nullified by penalty — the market settles strictly based on the actual receiving yards recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all thresholds for each named player.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. If a significant difference exists, it may present an arbitrage opportunity for informed traders who can capitalize on the mispricing between the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential receiving yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and interest in each possible outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yard totals for the Jacksonville vs Denver game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of the winning contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final statistics to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Injury reports for key wide receivers on both teams are a major catalyst, as the absence of a star player significantly impacts expected receiving yardage. Weather conditions, particularly if there's heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect passing games and thus the market. Late-breaking news regarding changes in offensive strategies or quarterback performance could also lead to shifts in trader sentiment and price adjustments.