TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:15 PM EST
Kalshi
In the upcoming football match between Jacksonville and Denver, analysts will watch closely to see if any player achieves a significant rushing yardage milestone. The focus will be on specific players needing to exceed set yardage thresholds in their longest run during the game.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified player records a longest rush exceeding the stated yardage threshold in the designated game. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a player takes at least one snap, regardless of whether the play is nullified by penalty, the market settles based on the longest rush recorded during the game. These rules apply individually to each player's market.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, particularly as new information emerges or as the event draws closer. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into the perceived probabilities of various outcomes.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest single rushing attempt in the Jacksonville vs Denver game will be declared the winner. Official NFL game statistics will be used to determine the longest rush, and any ties will be broken according to official NFL rules. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by the NFL and verified through publicly available sources.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports are crucial; if a key running back is ruled out, the odds for other players will likely shift. News regarding player matchups and defensive strategies could also influence the market, as could changes in weather conditions that might favor a particular running style. Unexpected news regarding a player’s health or playing time, even late in the week, can cause rapid price movements. Any significant developments related to the players involved will likely be reflected in the trading activity of this market.