TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting whether specific players and teams will exceed designated fantasy point thresholds in an upcoming football game. Each market evaluates individual performance based on a standardized scoring system, reflecting contributions from various in-game activities.
All markets resolve based on Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring system applied to the full game (including overtime) between Jacksonville and Denver scheduled for September 20, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified player or team accumulates more fantasy points than the stated threshold. Players who do not participate or lack a recorded value are considered to have scored zero points. The official Sleeper point totals at market expiration are used without post-expiration adjustments or rounding. Scoring includes passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, defensive/special teams contributions, and individual player special teams/fumbles, with specific point values assigned to yards, touchdowns, interceptions, and other statistical categories as defined in the Sleeper system.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. Each contract represents a specific range of total fantasy points for the Jacksonville vs Denver game. The price of a contract indicates the probability of the total fantasy points falling within that range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, creating a dynamic price discovery process. The market price reflects the collective judgment of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total fantasy points scored in the Jacksonville vs Denver game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final fantasy point totals from official sources will be used to determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual fantasy point range will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect ranges will not. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Jacksonville or Denver teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also shift sentiment. Finally, as the game approaches, any late-breaking news or analysis from fantasy football experts could influence traders’ decisions.