TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Jacksonville State vs. North Dakota State Bison
kalshi
polymarket

Jacksonville State vs. North Dakota State Bison

Volume:
$2,363,795

North Dakota St.

 - Kalshi

North Dakota St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 30, 2026

Closed: Aug 29, 8:50 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

North Dakota St.

View
100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,166,161
N/A
N/A
$754,100
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread: North Dakota State Bison (-7.5)

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,043
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jacksonville St.

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,073,587
N/A
N/A
$658,085
Settled
No
polymarket

Jacksonville State vs. North Dakota State Bison

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$110,569
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 46.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,435
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2H Moneyline

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the point spread outcome for the Jacksonville State vs. North Dakota State Bison college football game, with the consensus indicating North Dakota State Bison (-7.5) at 100.0%, and the 2H Moneyline at 0.5%. Data is aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution sourced from ncaa.com. The critical catalyst to monitor is the game itself, scheduled for August 29, 2026, which will determine the final settlement.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental divergence in market structure and resolution criteria between Kalshi binary outcome and Polymarket named outcomes with additional spread and total marketsHero tip: Traders should be cautious when arbitraging between these platforms as Kalshi resolves to Yes for any win while Polymarket requires specific team names. Spread and total markets on Polymarket have their own distinct resolution criteria that do not exist on Kalshi.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either North Dakota State or Jacksonville State wins the game. No distinction between teams, only win/loss outcome matters.
  • Polymarket: Resolves to specific team names for win outcomes ('Jacksonville State' or 'North Dakota State Bison'), with separate markets for spread (-7.5) and total points over/under (46.5).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for August 29 at 5:30PM ET: If Jacksonville State wins, the market will resolve to "Jacksonville State". If North Dakota State Bison wins, the market will resolve to "North Dakota State Bison". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the college football game between Jacksonville St. and North Dakota St., scheduled for August 29, 2026. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game fails to start within the 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring an equitable outcome regardless of scheduling disruptions. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the FCS playoff matchup market aggregates data from multiple venues, showing how traders across platforms price the contest. It displays current probabilities, volume of $2,363,795, and 24-hour volume at $2,329,649, letting users see consensus views and divergences in real time. This unified view helps track sentiment shifts as the game approaches.

Injuries, weather updates, and key player performances leading up to the game could shift probabilities in this market. Trading activity spikes often follow practice reports, coaching strategies, or any unexpected roster changes. Keep an eye on Polymarket and Kalshi volume trends, as they reflect real-time sentiment and can foreshadow larger moves before the contest.