TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. New Mexico State Aggies (W)
Volume:
$7,259
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Jacksonville State Gamecocks and New Mexico State Aggies scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing the outcome of this single game, with resolution tied to the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both mutually exclusive outcomes (Jacksonville St. wins AND New Mexico St. wins) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes). This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable and creates a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform corrects the resolution logic. The market as currently stated cannot distinguish between the two possible outcomes. Polymarket's binary structure is the only resolvable version of this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure with clear mutually exclusive outcomes. Jacksonville State Gamecocks resolves if they win; New Mexico State Aggies resolves if they win. Handles postponement by keeping market open; handles cancellation with 50-50 split. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory YES resolution for both possible outcomes. Both 'Jacksonville St. wins' and 'New Mexico St. wins' are stated to resolve to Yes, creating an unresolvable market structure with no way to distinguish between outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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