TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 7:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Jacksonville State or Ohio in the first half of their college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team to resolve as 'Yes'.
All markets resolve based on the point differential in the first half of the Jacksonville St. vs Ohio college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team's win margin exceeds the stated threshold during the first half. Only points scored in the first half count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own beliefs. If many traders believe Ohio will cover the spread, the price will move in that direction, potentially diverging from initial sportsbook lines. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches, as more information becomes available and is incorporated into the price.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Jacksonville St vs Ohio spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. For example, a contract priced at 60 means it costs 60 dollars to buy a contract that pays out 100 dollars if that outcome occurs. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders place orders, reflecting their collective assessment of the likely spread in the first half of the game.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread for the first half of the Jacksonville St vs Ohio game will be used to determine which contracts payout. The official result will be sourced from established sports data providers and will be used to settle all outstanding contracts on Kalshi. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game begins. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Jacksonville St or Ohio teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s style of play, could also impact the spread. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment and affect the price. Public perception, as reflected in polls and expert analysis, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.