TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the final quarter of a football game between two professional teams. It specifically evaluates performance during the last 15 minutes of regulation time, ignoring any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on which side demonstrates stronger offensive capabilities in that critical segment of the contest.
If Denver wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the JAC Jaguars vs DEN Broncos Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jacksonville wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the JAC Jaguars vs DEN Broncos Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the JAC Jaguars vs DEN Broncos Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can provide a more comprehensive view of the likely outcome of the Jaguars-Broncos 4th quarter, and highlight areas where the crowd disagrees with the experts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about which team will win the 4th quarter. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a Jaguars win, the price for that outcome increases, and vice versa for the Broncos. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the probability of each outcome as perceived by the market participants, creating a real-time assessment of the game’s potential final quarter.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team leading at the end of the 4th quarter of the Jaguars versus Broncos game will determine the winning outcome. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to verify the winner. Traders who correctly predicted the 4th quarter winner will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly impact the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Jaguars or the Broncos would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also influence trading activity. In-game performance during the first three quarters, such as a dominant offensive showing or a key defensive stop, could lead traders to adjust their positions. Unexpected announcements or developments related to team strategy or coaching decisions could also move this market before it resolves.