TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 6:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams during a specific quarter of a football game. Bettors can predict whether the combined score will exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of difficulty and potential payout.
All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by both the JAC Jaguars and DEN Broncos during the 3rd Quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. Each market has a different threshold for the total points that must be exceeded for a 'Yes' outcome. If the combined score exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' Only points scored during the 3rd Quarter count toward these markets, and the markets are independent of each other, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public perception diverges from expert analysis. Examining these differences can offer insights into potential value or mispricing, but remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 3rd quarter total. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. The closer we get to the game, the more the price will likely move as new information, such as injury reports or weather forecasts, becomes available, influencing traders' assessments.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total points scored in the 3rd quarter of the Jaguars-Broncos game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine whether contracts payout at $100 or $0. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the official score is confirmed.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Jaguars or the Broncos would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also shift prices. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before kickoff might influence trader sentiment. Finally, even late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts could move this market as traders react to the perceived impact on performance.