TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various thresholds for the total points scored by both teams combined in the first quarter of a football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity that can be achieved in the opening quarter of play.
These markets resolve based on the total points scored by both the JAC Jaguars and DEN Broncos during the first quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold (ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points) that the combined first-quarter scoring must exceed for the market to resolve as 'Yes'. Only points scored during the first quarter of official game play count toward these markets. All markets operate independently, with each threshold representing a distinct level of scoring performance that can be evaluated separately. The markets are structured to allow participants to assess different levels of offensive output in the opening quarter, from modest scoring to high-scoring scenarios. No affiliation or endorsement by the governing league is implied, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public sentiment shifts. Comparing these odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember they represent different types of forecasts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total points scored in the first quarter. The price of each contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event’s potential. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price movements.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final score of the first quarter of the Jaguars versus Broncos game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official NFL results will serve as the basis for verification, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders will be able to see their positions settled based on the actual points scored during that period.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. News regarding key player injuries to either the Jaguars or the Broncos would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to a high- or low-scoring first quarter, could also impact trading activity. Even late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could shift the market’s perception of the likely outcome, leading to price adjustments as traders react to the latest information.