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399,592

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Ivory Coast vs. Senegal
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win Ivory Coast vs. Senegal?

Volume:
$36,621

Senegal

 - Kalshi

Senegal - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

Closed: Jul 2, 4:09 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Senegal

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,615
N/A
N/A
$7,302
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ivory Coast

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,404
N/A
N/A
$14,165
Settled
No
polymarket

Ivory Coast vs. Senegal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,602
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game between Ivory Coast and Senegal scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT. Markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: it states the market resolves to Yes for both possible outcomes (Senegal win AND Ivory Coast win), which is impossible for a binary market and makes settlement unresolvable as written.Hero tip: This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. The resolution criteria must be corrected before trading. Polymarket's logic is clear and resolvable. Request clarification from Kalshi: does Senegal win = Yes and Ivory Coast win = No, or is there additional resolution criteria not disclosed?

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Clear binary outcome: resolves to team name of winner (Ivory Coast or Senegal). Postponement extends market; cancellation without makeup = 50-50 split. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
  • Kalshi: Logical contradiction: states market resolves to Yes if Senegal wins AND also resolves to Yes if Ivory Coast wins. No explicit No condition provided. This makes the market unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Africa game, scheduled for July 2 at 2:00PM ET: If the Ivory Coast win, the market will resolve to "Ivory Coast". If the Senegal win, the market will resolve to "Senegal". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Senegal vs Ivory Coast professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and resolves after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two weeks. Should the game be cancelled and not played, or rescheduled beyond two weeks, the market resolves to a fair price for each team in accordance with established rules.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on real-money incentives, meaning traders profit or lose based on accuracy, which typically produces efficient price discovery. Sportsbooks, by contrast, set odds to balance liability and extract a margin. This market's odds reflect aggregated trader beliefs rather than a bookmaker's profit model, often resulting in tighter spreads and faster reaction to breaking news. Both sources can diverge significantly before major sporting events; prediction markets sometimes lead sportsbooks when new information emerges, while sportsbooks may adjust faster due to professional risk management. Comparing the two helps identify where smart money is positioning itself.

Key catalysts include team roster announcements, injury reports, and recent form leading into the match. Tactical changes, coaching decisions, or public statements from players and managers can shift trader sentiment rapidly. Weather conditions on match day, venue factors, and historical head-to-head records often influence late-stage trading activity. International tournament context—such as qualification implications or prize money at stake—may also drive volatility. Media coverage and expert predictions can sway retail traders, while sharp bettors may react to subtle lineup leaks or training-ground intelligence. Monitor sports news closely in the days before the event for moves that could reshape this market's odds.