Will both Ivory Coast and Norway score in the second half?

Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus on the actual probability of an outcome. Prediction markets typically incorporate real-time information and can adjust faster as new data emerges. For this market, comparing the implied probability to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether traders see value the bookmakers may have missed or mispriced.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief in whether both teams will score in the second half. As more traders buy or sell, the price moves to equilibrate supply and demand. You can enter limit or market orders to take a position, and the current price always represents the marginal trader's assessment of the probability at that moment.

This market resolves around Jun 30, 2026, once the Ivory Coast versus Norway match concludes and the second-half result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by whether both teams score at least one goal each during the second half of regulation play. Resolution occurs after the final whistle and official match records are confirmed. Early settlement is not typical unless the match is abandoned or postponed beyond the resolution window.

Several factors can shift odds in this market before the match concludes. Team news—injuries to key strikers or defensive players—can alter scoring expectations. Lineup announcements and tactical adjustments announced before kickoff typically cause significant repricing. During the first half, actual play will influence second-half predictions; a team trailing badly may adopt more aggressive tactics, while a team ahead might defend conservatively. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and late-breaking roster changes can also trigger meaningful moves as traders reassess the probability of both teams finding the net.