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404,175

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Ivory Coast vs. Madagascar
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Ivory Coast vs. Madagascar?

Volume:
$50,409

Ivory Coast

 - Kalshi

Ivory Coast - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 5, 2026

Closed: Jul 5, 12:50 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ivory Coast

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,705
N/A
N/A
$11,758
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ivory Coast vs. Madagascar

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,203
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Madagascar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,501
N/A
N/A
$29,012
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game between Ivory Coast and Madagascar scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of this single professional matchup.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Madagascar win and Ivory Coast win) are defined to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The Polymarket version provides clear binary logic: Ivory Coast win resolves to Ivory Coast, Madagascar win resolves to Madagascar. Request clarification from Kalshi on whether a No outcome exists or if this is a template error before committing capital.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary outcome market with clear mutually exclusive resolution paths. Ivory Coast victory resolves to Ivory Coast, Madagascar victory resolves to Madagascar. Includes postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split) edge cases. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
  • Kalshi: Market definition contains logical contradiction. Both Madagascar win and Ivory Coast win are stated to resolve to Yes, leaving no defined outcome for a No resolution. This creates an unresolvable state regardless of game result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Africa game, scheduled for July 5 at 11:00AM ET: If the Ivory Coast win, the market will resolve to "Ivory Coast". If the Madagascar win, the market will resolve to "Madagascar". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Madagascar vs Ivory Coast professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and resolves after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two weeks of the original date. Should the game be cancelled and not played, or rescheduled beyond two weeks from the original date, the market resolves to a fair price for each team in accordance with established rules.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on peer-to-peer trading—prices emerge from what thousands of traders are willing to buy and sell. This market reflects real-time consensus from decentralized participants rather than a bookmaker's risk management. Prediction market odds often incorporate information faster than sportsbooks update their lines, especially for less mainstream fixtures. However, sportsbook odds benefit from professional oddsmakers' expertise and historical data. Comparing both sources can reveal where smart money is positioning itself on this matchup.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and trading mechanics. Polymarket uses an automated market maker model, while Kalshi employs order-book matching, leading to distinct price discovery processes. Regulatory frameworks, fee structures, and user bases also vary between venues. Information may propagate unevenly—breaking news about team injuries or lineup changes can hit one platform before the other. Arbitrage opportunities sometimes emerge when prices drift too far apart, but transaction costs and withdrawal delays can prevent instant convergence. Monitoring both platforms helps you identify temporary mispricings and understand where the broader prediction market consensus truly lies.

Key catalysts include team lineups and injury announcements, which can shift perceived win probability significantly. Recent form, head-to-head records, and any roster changes will influence trader positioning. Weather conditions on match day and venue factors may also sway odds. Major betting syndicates entering or exiting positions can create sharp price moves. Social media sentiment and expert commentary sometimes trigger waves of retail trading. International football fixtures often see late-stage volatility as match time approaches, especially if one team's qualification hopes or tournament standing hinges on the result. Monitoring sports news and platform activity closely will help you anticipate and react to market-moving developments.