TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 6:30 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Ivory Coast wins by 2 or more goals against France during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for June 4, 2026, 19:10 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 4, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Prediction market odds on Limitless often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker pricing. Sportsbooks typically adjust margins and limits to manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate continuous trader positions. For this specific outcome—Ivory Coast winning by 2+ goals—comparing Limitless implied probability to major sportsbook spreads can reveal whether the market is pricing in a higher or lower likelihood than oddsmakers. These differences often reflect varying assessments of team form, injury status, and tactical matchups.
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, this outcome is priced according to the collective positions of traders betting on whether Ivory Coast achieves a 2+ goal victory. The platform's order book reflects buy and sell orders, with the spread between bid and ask prices indicating market liquidity and confidence. As new information emerges—team news, betting patterns, or analyst commentary—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. The current price directly translates to an implied probability, which you can track in real time through the dashboard.
This market resolves on Jun 5, 2026. The outcome is determined by the final score of the Ivory Coast versus France match. If Ivory Coast wins by exactly 2 goals or more, the YES position resolves to 1 and NO to 0. If France wins, draws, or Ivory Coast wins by only 1 goal, the NO position resolves to 1 and YES to 0. Resolution is based on the official final score recorded by the governing football authority at the end of regular and extra time, if applicable.
Key catalysts include team roster announcements, injury updates to star players on either side, and recent form in qualifying or warm-up matches. Tactical shifts, coaching changes, or public statements from managers can shift trader expectations. Head-to-head history and goal-scoring trends matter significantly for a 2+ margin outcome. Media coverage, betting syndicates' positions, and analyst predictions may also influence market sentiment. Weather conditions at match time and venue familiarity can affect gameplay and scoring potential. As the match date approaches, late-breaking news about player availability or team morale typically triggers sharp price movements.