TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 7:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the precise set scores in a specific tennis match between Iva Jovic and Magdalena Frech at the 2026 US Open. It focuses on whether the match concludes with either player winning by particular set margins. The outcome depends entirely on the final result of the match, should it take place.
The event determines whether Iva Jovic or Magdalena Frech wins their 2026 US Open Women Singles Round Of 128 match by a specific set score (either 2-0 or 2-1 for either player). If the match does not commence due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other cancellation before any ball is played, all markets resolve to a fair price. Postponements or delays keep markets open until the rescheduled match concludes, with resolution within two weeks. If a player retires during the match, markets can resolve based on completed play; unresolved markets settle at Fair Market Price at the Exchange’s discretion. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds can diverge because they incorporate unique participant dynamics and may shift more rapidly with new information. While sportsbooks set fixed odds based on broader analytics, this market price evolves continuously from trader activity. The difference often shows how niche bettors view the likelihood of specific outcomes versus mainstream gambling markets.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score that occurs during the match will determine which contract pays out, based on the officially recorded result.
Key updates like player form, injury reports, or changes to the match venue could shift this market significantly before Aug 30, 2026. Weather conditions, coaching strategies, and even early-game momentum may cause rapid price swings as traders react. Any public statement from the athletes or coaches, along with betting trends on traditional sportsbooks, can also influence trader sentiment and adjust probabilities.