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406,065

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2,692

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5

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IU Indy Jaguars vs. Wright State Raiders
kalshi
polymarket

IU Indy Jaguars vs. Wright State Raiders

Volume:
$318,405

Wright St.

 - Kalshi

Wright St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 20, 2026

Closed: Feb 19, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Wright St.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$123,129
N/A
N/A
$83,891
Settled
Yes
kalshi

IU Indy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$169,237
N/A
N/A
$106,996
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -11.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$79
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

IU Indy Jaguars vs. Wright State Raiders

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,225
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -12.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$660
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 163.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$469
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 162.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$409
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 161.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$197
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 8

Description

A men's college basketball game between IU Indy Jaguars and Wright State Raiders scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple thresholds (-11.5 and -12.5), and total points over/under at three levels (161.5, 162.5, 163.5).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both outcomes are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline and all derivative markets (spreads, totals) are logically sound and consistent.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi moneyline until the platform corrects the specification. Polymarket markets are safe to trade: moneyline resolves to winner name, spreads resolve based on margin thresholds (Wright State -11.5 requires 12+ point win; -12.5 requires 13+ point win), and totals resolve based on combined score thresholds (164+ for 163.5 O/U, 163+ for 162.5 O/U, 162+ for 161.5 O/U). All Polymarket markets remain open if postponed and resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market states both Wright St. win and IU Indy win resolve to Yes — logically contradictory for a binary outcome. No resolution logic provided for spreads or totals on this platform.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline: resolves to team name of winner. Spreads (-11.5, -12.5): resolve to Wright State if margin meets threshold, else IU Indy. Totals (161.5, 162.5, 163.5): resolve Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold, else Under. All markets: postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup = 50-50 split. Key quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.