TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
IU Indy Jaguars vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons (W)
Volume:
$37,118
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball matchup between IU Indy Jaguars and Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons scheduled for March 8, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the winner of this single game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Purdue Fort Wayne win and IU Indy win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary winner resolution.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market as written is broken and cannot settle properly. Polymarket's logic is sound: the market resolves to the name of the winning team. Avoid Kalshi until the platform corrects the dual-Yes contradiction. Trade only on Polymarket or wait for Kalshi clarification.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Both outcomes map to Yes resolution. Quote: 'If Purdue Fort Wayne wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If IU Indy wins...resolves to Yes.' This is logically impossible for a binary market.
- Polymarket: Standard binary winner resolution. Quote: 'If IU Indy wins, resolves to IU Indy Jaguars. If Purdue Fort Wayne wins, resolves to Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons.' Clear, mutually exclusive outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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