TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 7:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carles Hernandez and Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento in the ITF Men Xativa, originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carles Hernandez' if Carles Hernandez advances against Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento. This market will resolve to 'Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento' if Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento advances against Carles Hernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carles Hernandez and Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento in the ITF Men Xativa, originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carles Hernandez' if Carles Hernandez advances against Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento. This market will resolve to 'Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento' if Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento advances against Carles Hernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader-driven pricing and unique betting mechanics. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on analytical models and historical data, prediction markets reflect crowd-sourced forecasts and can shift rapidly with new information. Traders on Polymarket may price in nuances or early signals that sportsbooks have not yet adjusted for, potentially creating mispricings or opportunities for arbitrage. Comparing the two can offer insight into where public sentiment diverges from institutional analysis.
This market resolves around Aug 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official match conclusion, reflecting which player wins the ITF Xativa contest. Once the match finalizes, the market updates to reflect the confirmed winner, and all positions settle accordingly based on the outcome reported through trusted public channels.
Injuries, weather delays, or last-minute player withdrawals could significantly move this market before Aug 6, 2026. Strong performance in warm-up matches, media interviews indicating confidence or concern, and betting trends on Polymarket also influence trader sentiment. As the tournament progresses, any update affecting player readiness or form will be priced in, potentially shifting the odds dramatically in favor of either competitor.