TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 16, 10:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Haruka Kaji and Ya Yi Yang in the ITF Women Wuning, originally scheduled for June 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Haruka Kaji' if Haruka Kaji advances against Ya Yi Yang. This market will resolve to 'Ya Yi Yang' if Ya Yi Yang advances against Haruka Kaji. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect decentralized trader sentiment and often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs with real financial incentives. For the ITF Wuning match, comparing Polymarket probabilities to major sportsbook offerings can reveal where professional oddsmakers and retail traders disagree. Prediction markets typically react faster to breaking news, injuries, or lineup changes, making them a useful cross-check against conventional betting odds.
On Polymarket, the ITF Wuning match is priced as a binary outcome contract reflecting the probability that Haruka Kaji defeats Ya Yi Yang. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 1, with the current market price representing the collective forecast. Volume and liquidity on Polymarket determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions. As match day approaches, price discovery accelerates, and the contract converges toward either 0 or 1 based on the actual result.
The ITF Wuning: Haruka Kaji vs Ya Yi Yang market resolves on Jun 17, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the match between Haruka Kaji and Ya Yi Yang at the ITF Wuning event. The market will settle once the match concludes and the winner is confirmed through authoritative tennis records. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive the full payout, while losing shares expire worthless.
Several factors could shift odds for the Haruka Kaji vs Ya Yi Yang match. Recent form and head-to-head records matter significantly in tennis prediction markets. Injury announcements, withdrawal news, or changes to player fitness status typically trigger sharp price moves. Court surface conditions, weather forecasts, and tournament draw details can influence trader positioning. Pre-match commentary from analysts and betting syndicates may also sway market sentiment. Any official updates from the ITF Wuning organizers or player social media could prompt rapid repricing as the event date nears.