TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 19, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Gorzny and Kenta Miyoshi in the ITF Men Wichita, originally scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Gorzny' if Sebastian Gorzny advances against Kenta Miyoshi. This market will resolve to 'Kenta Miyoshi' if Kenta Miyoshi advances against Sebastian Gorzny. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Gorzny and Kenta Miyoshi in the ITF Men Wichita, originally scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Gorzny' if Sebastian Gorzny advances against Kenta Miyoshi. This market will resolve to 'Kenta Miyoshi' if Kenta Miyoshi advances against Sebastian Gorzny. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and operate under different constraints. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs in real time with minimal friction. This market may reflect sharper or more current information than traditional sportsbooks, especially as match day approaches. Comparing the two can reveal where the broader market sees value or where consensus has shifted since the sportsbook line was posted.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker that adjusts prices based on buy and sell pressure. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see represents the collective assessment of all active traders at that moment. As new information emerges or match conditions change, traders adjust their positions, and the price moves accordingly. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to real-world developments and trader conviction.
This market resolves around Jun 19, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome will reflect which player wins the ITF Wichita event. Until that point, traders can buy or sell shares based on their expectations. Resolution is automatic once the match is officially confirmed, ensuring all positions settle fairly and transparently.
Several factors could shift trader sentiment before Jun 19, 2026. Recent form and head-to-head records may influence confidence in either player. Injury reports, court conditions, or weather updates closer to match day often trigger repricing. Betting action on external sportsbooks can also signal sharp money and prompt market adjustments. News coverage, player statements, or draws that affect seeding or momentum may sway the odds as well. Watch for any developments that change the perceived likelihood of either player winning.