TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 19, 11:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrew Fenty and Lucas Marionneau in the ITF Men Wichita, originally scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrew Fenty' if Andrew Fenty advances against Lucas Marionneau. This market will resolve to 'Lucas Marionneau' if Lucas Marionneau advances against Andrew Fenty. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrew Fenty and Lucas Marionneau in the ITF Men Wichita, originally scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrew Fenty' if Andrew Fenty advances against Lucas Marionneau. This market will resolve to 'Lucas Marionneau' if Lucas Marionneau advances against Andrew Fenty. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show different probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or trading volume shifts. Comparing the two can reveal where the broader betting public and prediction market traders disagree on the likely result.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on one player winning, and the current price reflects the aggregate belief of all active traders. As new bets flow in, prices adjust automatically to balance supply and demand, ensuring the market continuously reprices based on fresh information and shifting conviction among participants.
This market resolves around Jun 19, 2026, once the match concludes and the winner is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official result of the ITF Wichita tournament match between the two players. No ambiguity exists in determining a winner in professional tennis, making resolution straightforward once the match is complete and confirmed through established sports reporting channels.
Key catalysts include recent player form, head-to-head records, court surface preferences, and injury reports leading up to the match. Tournament seeding, draw position, and momentum from earlier rounds can shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions, player fatigue from previous matches, and any last-minute lineup changes may also influence market pricing. Real-time match developments—such as set scores or service breaks during play—could trigger sharp repricing as new information becomes available to traders.