TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 24, 6:12 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlotta Moccia and Paula Ormaechea in the ITF W35 Trieste Women, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlotta Moccia' if Carlotta Moccia advances against Paula Ormaechea. This market will resolve to 'Paula Ormaechea' if Paula Ormaechea advances against Carlotta Moccia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlotta Moccia and Paula Ormaechea in the ITF W35 Trieste Women, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlotta Moccia' if Carlotta Moccia advances against Paula Ormaechea. This market will resolve to 'Paula Ormaechea' if Paula Ormaechea advances against Carlotta Moccia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through continuous trading where users buy and sell contracts representing either outcome. The current top chance reflects collective trader assessment of likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Volume and recent trading activity help determine price stability and liquidity. As the event approaches, trader sentiment—driven by things like player form, injuries, or weather—can cause noticeable shifts in the market price. The top outcome displayed is the one most traders currently favor, but this can change quickly with new information.
This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match result from the ITF W35 Trieste Women tournament, which will be checked against reliable sports news outlets and tournament records. Once the match concludes and the winner is officially declared, the market will settle accordingly. Timing depends on when the tournament finalizes results and makes them publicly available.
Injuries, changes in player form, or weather conditions could shift this market significantly before Aug 31, 2026. Key moments such as recent match performances, tournament updates, and any last-minute news about player availability will influence trader sentiment. As the event draws closer, any shift in perceived advantage—whether from practice sessions, rankings, or head-to-head history—may cause rapid price adjustments. Traders will react to any official tournament announcements or media reports that affect the perceived likelihood of each outcome.