TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 19, 7:05 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Eva Bennemann and Elza Tomase in the ITF W35 Erwitte Women, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eva Bennemann' if Eva Bennemann advances against Elza Tomase. This market will resolve to 'Elza Tomase' if Elza Tomase advances against Eva Bennemann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Eva Bennemann and Elza Tomase in the ITF W35 Erwitte Women, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eva Bennemann' if Eva Bennemann advances against Elza Tomase. This market will resolve to 'Elza Tomase' if Elza Tomase advances against Eva Bennemann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, the current probability reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbook odds often factor in house margins and broader public betting patterns, which can skew them compared to the trader-driven pricing in this market. Prediction markets tend to adjust more rapidly to new information, such as player injuries or weather conditions, while sportsbooks may update less frequently. As a result, you might see differences in implied chances between the two, with this market often reacting quicker to real-time developments in the tournament.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set the price through their bets, with the current top outcome reflecting the aggregate expectations of participants. The market’s probability indicator is derived from the balance of ‘for’ and ‘against’ positions, adjusting continuously as new trades occur and information emerges that could sway the match’s expected result.
This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the officially recorded winner of the ITF W35 Erwitte Women final, ensuring transparency and alignment with public records. No additional interpretation is needed beyond confirming the match result from trusted sports news outlets and tournament organizers.
Key signals that could shift probabilities in this market include player injuries, changes in tournament conditions such as weather or court surface, and recent match performance metrics. Updates from coaches or medical staff may also influence trader sentiment. As the tournament progresses, any dramatic shifts in form or unexpected setbacks for either competitor can cause rapid adjustments in pricing, reflecting new risk assessments among participants on Polymarket.