TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 25, 12:24 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marina Bulbarella and Agustina Soto Neira in the ITF W35 Barueri Women, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marina Bulbarella' if Marina Bulbarella advances against Agustina Soto Neira. This market will resolve to 'Agustina Soto Neira' if Agustina Soto Neira advances against Marina Bulbarella. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marina Bulbarella and Agustina Soto Neira in the ITF W35 Barueri Women, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marina Bulbarella' if Marina Bulbarella advances against Agustina Soto Neira. This market will resolve to 'Agustina Soto Neira' if Agustina Soto Neira advances against Marina Bulbarella. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often differ due to unique user dynamics and betting structures. While sportsbooks may set lines based on broader analytics and risk management, this market prices in real-time based on participant activity. The resulting odds can show varied implications, especially with shifting trader confidence or new information. Observers should note that this market’s pricing mechanism captures crowd-sourced forecasts, which may align closely or diverge noticeably from conventional sportsbook odds depending on recent developments and trader behavior.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders actively buy and sell contracts representing each outcome, with the price determined by supply and demand dynamics. The current implied probability reflects the market’s collective assessment of each player’s chances, influenced by recent form, head-to-head history, and any emerging news that could affect performance or participation in the match.
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, reflecting which player is declared the winner according to tournament rules and authoritative sports news sources.
Several key signals could influence this market before Sep 1, 2026. Performance updates from recent matches involving either competitor, injury reports, or changes in form may shift trader expectations. Weather conditions or venue-specific factors could also impact perceptions. Media coverage highlighting one player’s strengths or weaknesses might sway market sentiment. As the event approaches, any last-minute announcements regarding lineups or coaching strategies may cause notable movement. Traders will react to any data suggesting a shift in competitive balance, shaping the odds in the days leading to resolution.