TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 12, 1:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luana Plaza Araujo and Lourdes Ayala in the ITF W15 Campos do Jordao Women, originally scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luana Plaza Araujo' if Luana Plaza Araujo advances against Lourdes Ayala. This market will resolve to 'Lourdes Ayala' if Lourdes Ayala advances against Luana Plaza Araujo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luana Plaza Araujo and Lourdes Ayala in the ITF W15 Campos do Jordao Women, originally scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luana Plaza Araujo' if Luana Plaza Araujo advances against Lourdes Ayala. This market will resolve to 'Lourdes Ayala' if Lourdes Ayala advances against Luana Plaza Araujo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders continuously adjust prices through buying and selling shares of possible outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the collective judgment of all participants about who is likely to win the ITF W15 Campos do Jordao Women final. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time updates as new information emerges, such as player injuries, weather conditions, or recent match performances. The top outcome’s chance percentage displayed is derived from the share prices available at any given moment, showing how the market collectively values each contender’s prospects.
This market resolves around Aug 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, reflecting who wins the ITF W15 Campos do Jordao Women final. No additional interpretation or external data sources are needed beyond widely reported match results, ensuring a clear and transparent resolution process for all participants on Polymarket.
Several key signals could shift this market before Aug 19, 2026. Notable performances in earlier rounds, such as surprising wins or setbacks, will heavily influence trader sentiment. Injuries, changes in player form, or even weather conditions affecting match play can cause rapid price adjustments. Additionally, media coverage highlighting one competitor’s strengths or weaknesses may drive volume and shift implied probabilities. As the tournament progresses, any update that changes the perceived likelihood of each player advancing will be reflected almost immediately in this market’s pricing, so staying informed about real-time developments is crucial for traders.