TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 9:20 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lan Mi and Marjorie Souza in the ITF W15 Campos do Jordao Women, originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lan Mi' if Lan Mi advances against Marjorie Souza. This market will resolve to 'Marjorie Souza' if Marjorie Souza advances against Lan Mi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lan Mi and Marjorie Souza in the ITF W15 Campos do Jordao Women, originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lan Mi' if Lan Mi advances against Marjorie Souza. This market will resolve to 'Marjorie Souza' if Marjorie Souza advances against Lan Mi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the unique dynamics of trader-driven pricing. While sportsbooks may set their odds based on analytical models and historical data, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their insights, which can result in more volatile or sharply contrasting probabilities.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for each possible outcome. The current top chance reflects the highest buy price for that outcome, adjusted by available liquidity. Traders can also place limit orders at different price points, influencing the market as more bets are placed. This mechanism allows the price to respond dynamically to new information and trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will update the market status accordingly based on authoritative sports databases and tournament records.
Injuries, player form updates, weather conditions, or changes to the match schedule could all shift this market. Key moments such as recent match performances, practice session reports, or any last-minute withdrawals can cause rapid price adjustments. Traders will also watch for betting patterns, as large trades can influence the odds on Polymarket in the days leading up to the event.