TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 7:05 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nina Sozaonova and Haruna Arakawa in the ITF W15 Astana 5 Women, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nina Sozaonova' if Nina Sozaonova advances against Haruna Arakawa. This market will resolve to 'Haruna Arakawa' if Haruna Arakawa advances against Nina Sozaonova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nina Sozaonova and Haruna Arakawa in the ITF W15 Astana 5 Women, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nina Sozaonova' if Nina Sozaonova advances against Haruna Arakawa. This market will resolve to 'Haruna Arakawa' if Haruna Arakawa advances against Nina Sozaonova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks to set the probability of each outcome. The top outcome’s current chance reflects the aggregated wisdom of all participants, updating instantly with each trade. Market depth and liquidity levels influence how smoothly prices adjust to new information or shifts in trader sentiment leading up to the event.
This market resolves around Aug 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will update the market accordingly based on authoritative sports databases and tournament organizers’ announcements.
Injuries, changes in player form, or weather conditions affecting the match could shift this market significantly. Key signals include pre-match practice results, rankings updates, and any last-minute tournament announcements. As the event draws nearer, trader reactions to these developments — especially any surprises — will drive volatility and adjust the odds on Polymarket.