TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 6:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Haruna Arakawa and Asylzhan Arystanbekova in the ITF W15 Astana 5 Women, originally scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Haruna Arakawa' if Haruna Arakawa advances against Asylzhan Arystanbekova. This market will resolve to 'Asylzhan Arystanbekova' if Asylzhan Arystanbekova advances against Haruna Arakawa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Haruna Arakawa and Asylzhan Arystanbekova in the ITF W15 Astana 5 Women, originally scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Haruna Arakawa' if Haruna Arakawa advances against Asylzhan Arystanbekova. This market will resolve to 'Asylzhan Arystanbekova' if Asylzhan Arystanbekova advances against Haruna Arakawa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders manually set prices through buying and selling shares, which determines the current implied probability for each outcome. The top chance displayed reflects the most recent trading activity and order book depth. As new information emerges — such as player injuries or form updates — participants adjust their positions, causing the market price to move in response to real-time sentiment and volume.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official match conclusion, and the platform will update the market accordingly. Timing depends on when official results are released and confirmed through trusted external sources, ensuring an accurate settlement.
Injuries, weather delays, or last-minute player changes could shift this market as they affect expected performance. Strong pre-match performance in practice sessions, recent form updates, or shifts in betting volume on Polymarket can also cause price swings. Any news that changes perceptions of competitiveness — from head-to-head history to tournament conditions — may drive traders to adjust their positions before the match concludes.