TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 9:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Murkel Dellien and Enzo Lima in the ITF Men Villa Constitucion, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Murkel Dellien' if Murkel Dellien advances against Enzo Lima. This market will resolve to 'Enzo Lima' if Enzo Lima advances against Murkel Dellien. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Murkel Dellien and Enzo Lima in the ITF Men Villa Constitucion, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Murkel Dellien' if Murkel Dellien advances against Enzo Lima. This market will resolve to 'Enzo Lima' if Enzo Lima advances against Murkel Dellien. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market allows you to compare your own assessment against the consensus price, which can reveal value if you believe the crowd is mispricing the match. Many traders use both sources to identify discrepancies and inform their positions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader positions into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the cumulative bets placed on each outcome, with each trade moving the odds based on the depth of liquidity available. As more capital flows into one side, the probability shifts to balance supply and demand. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to new information and trader conviction.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result, with no ambiguity about who won. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell positions as new information emerges or their views shift. Resolution is automatic once the event is finalized and reported through established sports data channels.
Several factors could shift this market significantly before Jul 23, 2026. Player injury reports, recent form and head-to-head records, court conditions at Villa Constitucion, and betting patterns from professional syndicates can all trigger repricing. News about either player's fitness, coaching changes, or tournament context may prompt traders to reassess their positions. Additionally, sharp money flowing into one side can create momentum that attracts retail traders, amplifying price swings. Monitor sports news and betting activity closely for catalysts that could reshape the odds.