TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

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61%

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ITF Varnamo: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Duje Markovina
polymarket

ITF Varnamo: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Duje Markovina

Volume:
$653

ITF Varnamo: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Duje Markovina Set 1 Winner

 - Polymarket

ITF Varnamo: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Duje Markovina Set 1 Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 10, 2026

Closed: Jun 17, 4:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

ITF Varnamo: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Duje Markovina Set 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$124
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Varnamo: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Duje Markovina

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Varnamo: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Duje Markovina Match O/U 23.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$121
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Varnamo: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Duje Markovina Match O/U 21.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$119
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Varnamo: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Duje Markovina Total Sets: O/U 2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$119
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Varnamo: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Duje Markovina Match O/U 22.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$119
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Varnamo: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Duje Markovina Set 1 O/U 10.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Varnamo: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Duje Markovina Set Handicap +/-1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Varnamo: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Duje Markovina Set 1 O/U 8.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Varnamo: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Duje Markovina Set 1 O/U 9.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 11

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Gilles Arnaud Bailly and Duje Markovina in the ITF Men Varnamo, originally scheduled for June 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gilles Arnaud Bailly' if Gilles Arnaud Bailly advances against Duje Markovina. This market will resolve to 'Duje Markovina' if Duje Markovina advances against Gilles Arnaud Bailly. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket for this ITF Varnamo match often differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker lines. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds to balance liability, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized participant beliefs continuously. For the Bailly versus Markovina matchup, comparing Polymarket prices to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the crowd expects an upset or a favorite victory. These differences highlight how prediction markets and sportsbooks price uncertainty differently based on their respective mechanisms.

On Polymarket, the ITF Varnamo: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Duje Markovina match is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader bets into implied probabilities for each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the cumulative positions of all traders; as more capital flows toward one player, that outcome's price rises and the opposing outcome falls. Polymarket's pricing mechanism ensures continuous liquidity, allowing traders to enter or exit positions at any time before Jun 17, 2026. The spread between buy and sell prices tightens as volume increases, making the market more efficient as the match approaches.

The ITF Varnamo: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Duje Markovina market resolves on Jun 17, 2026, following the completion of the match. The outcome is determined by the official result of the tennis match between Gilles Arnaud Bailly and Duje Markovina at the ITF Varnamo tournament. Once the match concludes and the winner is confirmed, the prediction market settles accordingly, paying out traders who correctly predicted the result. Market resolution typically occurs shortly after the official tournament announcement.

Several factors could shift odds for the Bailly versus Markovina matchup before Jun 17, 2026. Recent tournament performance, player injuries, or withdrawal announcements would immediately impact pricing. Court surface conditions, weather forecasts, and head-to-head history may influence trader positioning as the match date approaches. News about either player's form, ranking changes, or coaching adjustments could trigger significant price movements. Large trader positions entering the market may also drive volatility. As match day nears, increased trading volume typically reflects growing confidence in the outcome, potentially tightening odds around the consensus expectation.