TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Guillaume Dalmasso and Sten Hiiesalu in the ITF Men Vaasa, originally scheduled for June 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Guillaume Dalmasso' if Guillaume Dalmasso advances against Sten Hiiesalu. This market will resolve to 'Sten Hiiesalu' if Sten Hiiesalu advances against Guillaume Dalmasso. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket for this ITF Vaasa match often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect decentralized trader sentiment rather than bookmaker risk management. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability; prediction markets respond directly to participant conviction. For the Dalmasso vs Hiiesalu matchup, comparing Polymarket implied probabilities to major sportsbook spreads can reveal whether the crowd is more or less confident in either player than professional oddsmakers. Such gaps may signal value or consensus shifts in real time.
On Polymarket, the ITF Vaasa: Guillaume Dalmasso vs Sten Hiiesalu market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time outcome probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The top outcome currently reflects the match result, with price discovery driven by the collective positions of all participants. As traders add liquidity or adjust positions ahead of Jun 17, 2026, the price moves to reflect shifting expectations about whether Dalmasso or Hiiesalu will prevail. Polymarket's transparent order flow makes these probability shifts visible to all users.
The ITF Vaasa: Guillaume Dalmasso vs Sten Hiiesalu market is scheduled to resolve at Jun 17, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the completed match between Guillaume Dalmasso and Sten Hiiesalu at the ITF Vaasa tournament. The market will settle based on which player wins the contest, with the outcome verified through authoritative tennis records and tournament data. Traders should monitor the match schedule and any updates from the ITF or tournament organizers as the event date approaches.
Several factors could shift the Dalmasso vs Hiiesalu market before Jun 17, 2026. Recent form and ranking updates for both players, injury reports or withdrawal announcements, head-to-head record analysis, and surface-specific performance data all influence trader positioning. Court conditions at Vaasa, weather forecasts on match day, and any changes to tournament scheduling can also trigger repricing. Additionally, news about either player's preparation, fitness, or mental readiness may prompt significant volume and price movement on Polymarket as traders reassess their edge.