TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 3:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mathys Domenc and Adrien Berrut in the ITF Men Uriage, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mathys Domenc' if Mathys Domenc advances against Adrien Berrut. This market will resolve to 'Adrien Berrut' if Adrien Berrut advances against Mathys Domenc. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mathys Domenc and Adrien Berrut in the ITF Men Uriage, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mathys Domenc' if Mathys Domenc advances against Adrien Berrut. This market will resolve to 'Adrien Berrut' if Adrien Berrut advances against Mathys Domenc. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by traders risking real capital on their beliefs about the outcome. For this match, comparing the implied probability here to traditional sportsbook spreads can reveal whether the market consensus differs from bookmaker pricing, potentially highlighting value or consensus shifts in how analysts view the players' chances.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible outcome. The price of each share reflects the current probability implied by all trades to date. As traders adjust their positions based on news, player form, or other signals, the price updates in real time, ensuring the market continuously reprices the likelihood of the result.
This market resolves around Jul 22, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result, determining which player prevailed. Until that point, traders can adjust positions as conditions change, but resolution is final once the event is complete and the winner is established through authoritative reporting.
Several factors could shift trader sentiment before Jul 22, 2026. Recent performance updates, injury reports, or changes in player rankings may influence how the market prices each outcome. Court conditions at the ITF Uriage venue, head-to-head history, and any late-breaking news about either player's form or fitness could prompt rapid repricing. Additionally, shifts in broader market sentiment or large trades by informed participants often trigger noticeable price movements as other traders react and rebalance their positions.