TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 8, 11:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Giovanni Oradini and Emanuel Ivanisevic in the ITF Men Umag, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giovanni Oradini' if Giovanni Oradini advances against Emanuel Ivanisevic. This market will resolve to 'Emanuel Ivanisevic' if Emanuel Ivanisevic advances against Giovanni Oradini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Giovanni Oradini and Emanuel Ivanisevic in the ITF Men Umag, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giovanni Oradini' if Giovanni Oradini advances against Emanuel Ivanisevic. This market will resolve to 'Emanuel Ivanisevic' if Emanuel Ivanisevic advances against Giovanni Oradini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market's odds may move faster in response to breaking news, injury reports, or player form shifts than conventional betting lines. Comparing the two can reveal whether the crowd on Polymarket is pricing in information that sportsbooks have yet to fully adjust for.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective willingness of participants to stake capital, with shares trading between 0 and 100 cents based on perceived probability. Higher prices indicate stronger confidence in that result. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information, so markets with deeper order books typically respond more smoothly to breaking developments.
This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which player wins the completed match at ITF Umag. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final point, pending confirmation from official tournament records or reputable sports data providers.
Key catalysts include recent head-to-head records, surface performance history on clay courts, and any injury announcements or withdrawal news in the days before play. Player ranking shifts, recent tournament results, and training updates shared on social media can shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions at the venue and court-specific factors may also influence expectations. Late-breaking lineup changes or unexpected form swings in warm-up matches could trigger sharp repricing as new information reaches the market.