TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 5, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Martineau and Marcel Zielinski in the ITF Men Troisdorf, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Martineau' if Matteo Martineau advances against Marcel Zielinski. This market will resolve to 'Marcel Zielinski' if Marcel Zielinski advances against Matteo Martineau. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, the Martineau versus Zielinski match is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the last executed trade price; as new money enters or exits, the price adjusts. Traders can see the spread between bid and ask, and volume at each price level informs liquidity. The market remains open until Jun 5, 2026, when the final outcome is determined and shares are settled at either 1 or 0.
The market resolves on Jun 5, 2026 following the completion of the ITF Troisdorf match between Matteo Martineau and Marcel Zielinski. The outcome is determined by the official result of the tennis match as recorded by the ITF. Once the match concludes and the winner is confirmed, the prediction market will settle, paying out traders who correctly predicted the result. Until that time, odds will continue to fluctuate based on market activity and any developments affecting player performance or match conditions.
Several factors could shift odds for the Martineau versus Zielinski match before Jun 5, 2026. Injury announcements or withdrawal news involving either player would trigger sharp repricing. Recent tournament results, head-to-head records, or updated rankings may influence trader confidence. Court surface conditions, weather forecasts, and draw announcements can also move the market. News coverage, expert analysis, or betting patterns from other venues may signal new information. Any change in player form, coaching staff, or personal circumstances could prompt traders to reassess probabilities and adjust their positions accordingly.