TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriela Ce and Camilla Zanolini in the ITF Women Torino, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriela Ce' if Gabriela Ce advances against Camilla Zanolini. This market will resolve to 'Camilla Zanolini' if Camilla Zanolini advances against Gabriela Ce. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriela Ce and Camilla Zanolini in the ITF Women Torino, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriela Ce' if Gabriela Ce advances against Camilla Zanolini. This market will resolve to 'Camilla Zanolini' if Camilla Zanolini advances against Gabriela Ce. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets price outcomes through continuous trader participation and real money at stake. This market aggregates dispersed information from many participants, which can reveal edges that sportsbooks have not yet priced in. Comparing the two can highlight where public perception on this match differs from professional bookmaker assessments, though both aim to reflect true win probability.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds continuously as traders buy and sell shares. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome has a price between 0 and 100 cents, representing the implied probability; traders profit by correctly predicting which outcome occurs. The spread between bid and ask prices reflects liquidity and uncertainty. As the event date approaches, prices typically tighten and converge toward the realized outcome, rewarding early accurate forecasters and penalizing those on the wrong side.
This market resolves around Jul 22, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official match result—which player wins the ITF Torino contest. Resolution occurs after the event is confirmed through established tennis databases and official tournament records. Traders holding the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The exact timing may shift slightly if the match is postponed or rescheduled.
Several factors can shift odds before the match concludes. Injury announcements or withdrawal news involving either player typically triggers sharp price movement. Recent form, head-to-head records, and surface-specific performance data influence trader positioning. Court conditions, weather forecasts, and lineup changes announced closer to the event date can also drive repricing. Media coverage and expert commentary may sway sentiment, while betting syndicates and sharp money flowing into one side can signal confidence. Monitor official ITF communications and player social media for last-minute developments that reshape market expectations.