TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 19, 10:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Naoya Honda and Alan Magadan in the ITF Men Tokyo, originally scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Naoya Honda' if Naoya Honda advances against Alan Magadan. This market will resolve to 'Alan Magadan' if Alan Magadan advances against Naoya Honda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Naoya Honda and Alan Magadan in the ITF Men Tokyo, originally scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Naoya Honda' if Naoya Honda advances against Alan Magadan. This market will resolve to 'Alan Magadan' if Alan Magadan advances against Naoya Honda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, reflecting the unique composition and incentives of Polymarket participants. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest or where informed traders see value.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the aggregate belief of all participants, with shares trading between 0 and 1 dollar based on perceived probability. As traders react to news, player form, or other signals, the price adjusts in real time, ensuring the market continuously reprices the likelihood of each result.
This market resolves around Jun 20, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official winner of the Honda vs Magadan match at ITF Tokyo. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. Resolution timing depends on when the match is played and results are publicly available.
Player injuries, recent form, head-to-head records, and court conditions at the Tokyo venue can all shift trader sentiment before this market closes. Announcements about either competitor's fitness or withdrawal would trigger sharp repricing. Media coverage highlighting one player's momentum or tactical advantages may also influence positions. Weather forecasts, draw announcements, or unexpected upsets in related tournaments can serve as catalysts, prompting traders to reassess probabilities and adjust their holdings accordingly.