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$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

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ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Mao Mushika
polymarket

ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Mao Mushika

Volume:
$13,339

ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Mao Mushika Set 2 O/U 8.5

 - Polymarket

ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Mao Mushika Set 2 O/U 8.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 18, 10:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Mao Mushika Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$85
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Mao Mushika Set 2 O/U 9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$85
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Mao Mushika

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12,538
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Mao Mushika Total Sets: O/U 2.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$91
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Mao Mushika Set 1 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$86
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Mao Mushika Match O/U 21.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
$102
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Mao Mushika Match O/U 22.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
$91
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Mao Mushika Match O/U 23.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
$90
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Mao Mushika Set 2 Winner

19%
Yes 19¢No 81¢
—
N/A
$85
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Mao Mushika Set Handicap +/-1.5

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$85
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Mao Mushika Set 1 O/U 8.5

0%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.1¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Mao Mushika Set 1 O/U 9.5

0%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.1¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Mao Mushika Set 1 O/U 10.5

0%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.1¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Mao Mushika Set 2 O/U 10.5

20%
Yes 20¢No 80¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 15

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Kayo Nishimura and Mao Mushika in the ITF Women Tokyo, originally scheduled for June 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kayo Nishimura' if Kayo Nishimura advances against Mao Mushika. This market will resolve to 'Mao Mushika' if Mao Mushika advances against Kayo Nishimura. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Kayo Nishimura and Mao Mushika in the ITF Women Tokyo, originally scheduled for June 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kayo Nishimura' if Kayo Nishimura advances against Mao Mushika. This market will resolve to 'Mao Mushika' if Mao Mushika advances against Kayo Nishimura. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

The Nishimura vs Mushika tennis match dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and price movements for this ITF Tokyo women's singles contest. Traders can monitor the current implied probability for each player, historical price charts, and 24-hour trading volume to gauge market sentiment. The dashboard displays how prediction market participants are pricing the likelihood of each outcome, updated continuously as new trades execute. This live data helps bettors and analysts understand where the smart money is positioned ahead of the match.

Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different market structures and participant bases. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market's odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on which venue attracts more informed participants or liquidity. Comparing the two can reveal value opportunities, though prediction markets typically converge toward consensus as the event date approaches and new information emerges.

On Polymarket, traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, with the share price reflecting the implied probability of that result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price adjusts in real time as new trades flow in, allowing participants to express their conviction by accumulating positions at current levels. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information or shifting sentiment about the match outcome.

This market resolves around Jun 19, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official match result—specifically, which player wins the ITF Tokyo singles event. Resolution occurs after the tournament organizers and sports data providers confirm the final score and winner, ensuring accuracy before payouts are distributed to winning traders.

Key catalysts include recent player form, head-to-head records, injury reports, and court surface conditions at the Tokyo venue. Betting activity from sharp traders or sudden shifts in public perception can also drive price swings. Tournament draws, seeding changes, and pre-match commentary from analysts may influence trader positioning. Weather conditions and player statements closer to match day could trigger final repricing as the event becomes more imminent and uncertainty narrows.