TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 10:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jumpei Yamasaki and Hayden Jones in the ITF Men Tokyo, originally scheduled for June 10, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jumpei Yamasaki' if Jumpei Yamasaki advances against Hayden Jones. This market will resolve to 'Hayden Jones' if Hayden Jones advances against Jumpei Yamasaki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed lines set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks adjust for margin and liability, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs directly. For the Yamasaki vs Jones match, comparing Polymarket prices to major sportsbooks can reveal where the crowd sees value or where sharp bettors may be positioning ahead of the ITF Tokyo event. Prediction markets typically react faster to breaking news about player status or conditions.
On Polymarket, the Yamasaki vs Jones match is priced through binary outcome contracts where traders buy and sell shares representing each player's chances of winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current market price reflects the collective assessment of all active traders, with each outcome ranging from near zero to near one hundred. As match day approaches and new information surfaces—such as player withdrawals, surface conditions, or recent performance—prices adjust dynamically. You can enter or exit positions at any time before market resolution on Jun 18, 2026.
The market resolves on Jun 18, 2026 following the completion of the ITF Tokyo match between Jumpei Yamasaki and Hayden Jones. Resolution is determined by the official result of the singles match as recorded by the ITF and confirmed by the market's data source. Once the match concludes and the winner is officially confirmed, the market settles and traders receive payouts based on which outcome they held at resolution. Early resolution may occur if the match is cancelled or does not take place as scheduled.
Key catalysts include player injury announcements, withdrawal news, or changes in player ranking or recent match results. Surface conditions and weather at the Tokyo venue can influence odds, as can head-to-head history or recent form updates. Coaching changes, fitness updates, or statements from either player's camp may shift trader sentiment. Media coverage of either player's performance in warm-up events or training sessions can also move prices. Any official ITF announcements regarding scheduling, court assignment, or match conditions will likely trigger significant trading activity on Polymarket.