TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 12:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Eri Shimizu and Mutsumi Uemura in the ITF Women Tokyo, originally scheduled for June 10, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eri Shimizu' if Eri Shimizu advances against Mutsumi Uemura. This market will resolve to 'Mutsumi Uemura' if Mutsumi Uemura advances against Eri Shimizu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket for this ITF Tokyo match often reflect different methodologies than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks rely on oddsmakers and betting models, prediction markets aggregate the collective judgment of traders and bettors. Comparing Polymarket pricing to major sportsbook lines can reveal where professional and retail sentiment diverge on Shimizu versus Uemura. Sportsbooks typically adjust for margin, whereas prediction markets may price closer to true probability.
On Polymarket, the ITF Tokyo: Eri Shimizu vs Mutsumi Uemura market is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability of the match outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each possible result, with the price of each share directly indicating the implied probability. The current market price reflects the consensus of all active traders on Polymarket at any given moment, updated continuously as new trades execute.
The ITF Tokyo: Eri Shimizu vs Mutsumi Uemura market is scheduled to resolve on Jun 17, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the completed match between Eri Shimizu and Mutsumi Uemura at the ITF Women's Tokyo tournament. The market outcome will be settled based on the verified winner announced by the ITF and confirmed through official tournament records.
Key signals that could shift market pricing include recent form and head-to-head records between Shimizu and Uemura, player injuries or withdrawals, court surface conditions at the Tokyo venue, and pre-match commentary from tennis analysts. Tournament seeding, ranking points at stake, and any late-breaking news about either player's fitness or mental readiness may also influence trader sentiment. Live match developments will ultimately determine the final outcome and market resolution.