TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 1:55 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Sarksian and Mikalai Haliak in the ITF Men Tianjin, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Sarksian' if Daniil Sarksian advances against Mikalai Haliak. This market will resolve to 'Mikalai Haliak' if Mikalai Haliak advances against Daniil Sarksian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Sarksian and Mikalai Haliak in the ITF Men Tianjin, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Sarksian' if Daniil Sarksian advances against Mikalai Haliak. This market will resolve to 'Mikalai Haliak' if Mikalai Haliak advances against Daniil Sarksian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the decentralized nature of trading. On Polymarket, prices reflect the collective wisdom of participants, who may react faster to new information than sportsbooks. Traders should compare this market’s current implied probability with sportsbook lines to spot potential value, keeping in mind that prediction markets incorporate unique dynamics and can shift more rapidly.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell shares of possible outcomes. The current top outcome chance reflects the aggregated bets of all participants, adjusting in real time based on trading volume and new information. Liquidity and trader sentiment drive fluctuations, so the price can change quickly as the match nears.
Injuries, weather delays, or last-minute player withdrawals could shift this market as they affect the perceived likelihood of each outcome. Media updates, betting trends on other platforms, and performance metrics from recent matches may also influence trader sentiment. Any new information that changes expectations for the contest can cause rapid price movements on Polymarket before resolution.