TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 15, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gina Feistel and Elena Ruxandra Bertea in the ITF Women The Hague, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gina Feistel' if Gina Feistel advances against Elena Ruxandra Bertea. This market will resolve to 'Elena Ruxandra Bertea' if Elena Ruxandra Bertea advances against Gina Feistel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gina Feistel and Elena Ruxandra Bertea in the ITF Women The Hague, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gina Feistel' if Gina Feistel advances against Elena Ruxandra Bertea. This market will resolve to 'Elena Ruxandra Bertea' if Elena Ruxandra Bertea advances against Gina Feistel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, incorporating margins that favor the house. Prediction markets, by contrast, aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery, typically reflecting a crowd-sourced probability estimate with minimal intermediary markup. This market's odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on information flow and trader positioning. Neither is inherently more accurate, but comparing them can reveal where professional and amateur assessments differ most sharply.
This market resolves around Jul 15, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official match result—specifically, which player wins the ITF The Hague competition. Resolution occurs after the event is complete and confirmed through established tennis databases and official tournament records. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The exact timing may shift slightly if the match is postponed or rescheduled.
Several factors could shift prices before resolution. Recent form and head-to-head records between the two players often influence trader positioning, especially if new match results emerge. Injury reports or withdrawal announcements would trigger sharp repricing. Court conditions, surface preference, and draw strength at the ITF The Hague event may also sway sentiment as the tournament approaches. Media coverage highlighting one player's momentum or weakness can prompt buying or selling waves. Closer to the event date, lineup confirmations and warm-up match results typically drive the final price adjustments as traders refine their edge.