TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yushan Shao and Yihan Qu in the ITF Women Tauste, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yushan Shao' if Yushan Shao advances against Yihan Qu. This market will resolve to 'Yihan Qu' if Yihan Qu advances against Yushan Shao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yushan Shao and Yihan Qu in the ITF Women Tauste, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yushan Shao' if Yushan Shao advances against Yihan Qu. This market will resolve to 'Yihan Qu' if Yihan Qu advances against Yushan Shao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show materially different odds than traditional sports betting sites, especially if one venue attracts sharper or more specialized information. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest or where informed traders see value.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker pool. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on one outcome, and the price reflects the collective conviction of all participants. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and its implied probability increases. The market remains open to new trades until the event concludes, allowing prices to adjust continuously based on new information or shifting trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, once the match between Shao and Qu concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result, determining which trader positions are correct. Until that point, prices may continue to shift as the event date approaches and any relevant news or player information becomes available. Resolution is final once the event is officially recorded.
Player form, recent tournament results, head-to-head records, and injury reports can all shift trader positioning in this market. Draws or seeding announcements may also influence odds if they affect perceived difficulty or matchup dynamics. Weather conditions, court surface preferences, or late withdrawals could trigger sharp repricing. Media coverage and expert commentary may sway casual traders, while professional bettors might react to shifts in sportsbook lines or changes in player ranking or ranking points at stake.