TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 2:26 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Goncalo Marques and Alejo Sanchez Quilez in the ITF Men Tauste, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Goncalo Marques' if Goncalo Marques advances against Alejo Sanchez Quilez. This market will resolve to 'Alejo Sanchez Quilez' if Alejo Sanchez Quilez advances against Goncalo Marques. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Goncalo Marques and Alejo Sanchez Quilez in the ITF Men Tauste, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Goncalo Marques' if Goncalo Marques advances against Alejo Sanchez Quilez. This market will resolve to 'Alejo Sanchez Quilez' if Alejo Sanchez Quilez advances against Goncalo Marques. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, the current odds for the Marques vs Quilez tennis match reflect trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant motivations and information sources. Traders may incorporate real-time data, insider insights, or contrarian bets that sportsbooks do not immediately adjust for. This can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing, especially as the match date approaches. Comparing the two provides a view into how crowd-sourced forecasts differ from established betting markets.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a decentralized process where traders submit bids and asks that determine the current probability. The top outcome’s displayed chance reflects the aggregated wisdom of all participants’ bets. Volume of $6,259 supports the market’s liquidity, allowing traders to adjust positions as new information emerges. Prices can shift rapidly with each new trade, capturing evolving expectations about the match’s outcome.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform updates the market accordingly based on that verified data.
In the coming weeks, practice sessions, player injuries, weather forecasts, and recent form updates could all influence this market. Any shift in betting volume or public sentiment may also cause price adjustments. As Aug 12, 2026 approaches, near-term news such as coaching strategies or head-to-head performance updates will likely drive more pronounced movements in the odds, reflecting the latest expectations for the match.