TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 10:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mao Mushika and Yu-Chen Lin in the ITF Women Taipei, originally scheduled for June 16, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mao Mushika' if Mao Mushika advances against Yu-Chen Lin. This market will resolve to 'Yu-Chen Lin' if Yu-Chen Lin advances against Mao Mushika. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mao Mushika and Yu-Chen Lin in the ITF Women Taipei, originally scheduled for June 16, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mao Mushika' if Mao Mushika advances against Yu-Chen Lin. This market will resolve to 'Yu-Chen Lin' if Yu-Chen Lin advances against Mao Mushika. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. Traders here have direct financial exposure to accuracy, which can surface information faster than traditional oddsmakers. Comparing this market's implied probability to major sportsbook lines may reveal where the crowd sees value or where consensus differs.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective belief of all participants: higher demand for a particular result pushes its price up, signaling greater confidence. Liquidity and trading volume influence how easily prices move, and the current market price represents the marginal trader's assessment of the match outcome at that instant.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect the actual winner of the match as documented by official tennis records and reputable sports news sources. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive their payout once the event concludes and the result is finalized on the platform.
Player form, recent match results, injury reports, and head-to-head history can all shift trader sentiment before the match begins. News about either competitor's preparation, court conditions at the ITF Taipei venue, or unexpected withdrawals would likely trigger sharp price moves. As the event date approaches, increased media coverage and expert commentary may also influence how traders reassess the probabilities. Close matches or upsets in related tournaments can reshape expectations for similar-level competitions.